NRL Round 12 Preview - My Best Bets

NRL Round 12 Preview - My Best Bets

RUNNING TALLY = + 132 Units

*Using TAB odds at time of publication*
 
10 UNIT BET = 2 Leg Multi  @ $2.29 - Broncos Head to Head v Eels @ $1.45 into Bulldogs Super Line  +6.5 v Tigers @ $1.58) 

 
I just think the Broncos would have gained plenty of confidence from that come from behind win over the Roosters at home last week. The Eels couldn’t beat the Warriors missing Tuivasa Sheck and Shaun Johnson at home, so I fail to see how they are a chance here. Also don’t love the optional change of Corey Norman going back to fullback who I think will be severely tested here. The Tigers have only won two games this year by more than 6 points, and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Bulldogs, despite only winning 3 times this year, have lost 5 games by 6 points or less. 
 
7 UNIT BET = 2 Leg Multi @ $3.05 - Sweet Spot Newcastle +16.5 and Sharks +4.5 @ $1.75 into Sweet Spot Warriors +11.5 and Souths +8.5 @ $1.75)
 
The Knights have been competitive in most of their losses this season, despite losing Mitchell Pearce to injury. The Sharks have won 5 games in a row, and the biggest margin in those games has been 8 points, so the sweet spot looks a great bet here. The Warriors and Souths game should be a cracker, with both sides keeping it close throughout in a battle of Top 4 sides. The sweet spot bets have been very effective this year with several close games a round in the NRL, in a pretty even competition in 2018. 
 
3 UNIT BET = 2 Leg Multi  @ $10.54 - Raiders 1-12 v Sea Eagles @ $3.10 into Bulldogs 1-12 v Tigers @ $3.40) 
 
Both the Raiders and Bulldogs have been on the end of more close losses than any other teams in the competition this year. I’m working a bit on the law of averages that says these things average themselves out somewhat, with both sides being in desperate positions where the Raiders have just 4 wins and the Bulldogs 3. The Sea Eagles are playing their 3rd straight road game, whilst the Tigers have won just 1 of their past 5 games and are looking tired and without ideas in attack.