NRL Round 4 - My Best Bets (20 Unit Bank)

NRL Round 4 - My Best Bets (Using a 20 Unit Bank)
 
RUNNING TALLY = .- 16.2 Units
 
10 UNIT BET = 3 Leg Multi @ $2.21 (Roosters to win v Warriors $1.33, Broncos to win v Titans @ $1.25, Dragons to win v Knights @ $1.33) 
 
Put simply, I think all these three sides are morals to win week. I know the Warriors are going well, however they have not come up against a side nearly as good as the Roosters who are already starting to go through the gears. The Titans are a bit of a mess for me and have an awful record against the Broncos. And the Red V look white hot at the moment and, with Newcastle’s defensive frailties, I see nothing but a huge victory for the Red V at one of their traditional home grounds in Wollongong where they love playing. 
 
6 UNIT BET = 2 Leg Multi @ $3.36 (Rabbitohs Head to Head v Bulldogs @$1.77 into Dragons -8.5 v Knights @ Wollongong) 
 
I’m confident with both the Rabbitohs and Dragons here.  I was far more impressed by Souths’ performance last week against Manly than I was with the Dogs against Penrith. Souths look to me to be a side with a fair bit of upside and firepower, whilst Canterbury staggered over the line against a Penrith side missing Nathan Cleary. I think the Dragons are morals here, and I can see them racking up another big score. I think this is a really serious footy team this year, with the ability to blow you away as well as the ability to be physically dominant up front. I just think the Knights are a new side, learning on the run, and their defence has been pretty brittle over the opening three weeks, which could see them in real trouble here against a rampant Dragons’ side. The Saints always love playing at their traditional home grounds, and I see them securing another big victory here to stay top of the table. 
 
4 UNIT BET = 2 Leg Multi @ $3.06 (Sweet Spot Sharks +13.5 and Storm +6.5 into Sweet Spot Manly +4.5 into Raiders +15.5) 
 
The Sharks and Storm have played a number of big games over the past few years with generally really tight margins in all of them. I expect this game to be low scoring and within a try margin for the full 80 minutes, with the Sharks having a really good record against the Storm of late. The Raiders’ three games this year have all fallen comfortably within the Sweet Spot with two 2-point margins and a 1-point margin last weekend. I expect more of the same heart attack finishes for the Raiders who are playing some decent footy, but just don’t know how to finish games off.