My Best 5 Bets for NRL Round 14 (Line and Under/Over Points)
1. Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs @ Suncorp Stadium
BET = South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5
1. Having been awful in their previous game, I expect some sort of reaction from the Rabbitohs.
2. The Rabbitohs usually lift for games at Suncorp Stadium and have a decent record there over the past 5 years.
3. Despite being back to close to full strength, the Broncos recent form has been patchy with 2 straight losses to the Warriors and Roosters.
4. Earlier this year, the Rabbitohs were desperately unlucky to lose to the Broncos 25-24 at ANZ Stadium in a game where the 50-50 calls went against them.
5. I don't think Souths can win this game, however coming off a bye I expect them to be up for the game and some of their senior players to respond after a really poor showing against the Eels.
2. Gold Coast Titans v New Zealand Warriors @ CBUS Super Stadium
BET = Warriors +2.5
1. Since 2010 the Warriors have won an amazing 12 of 13 games against the Titans.
2. The Gold Coast is a home away from home for the Warriors, having won their 6 encounters there.
3. The Warriors have already beaten the Titans this year back in Round 4 at Mount Smart Stadium.
4. The Titans have been poor at home this season, having won just 2 games.
5. The Warriors always seem to be up for this game, and with plenty of Kiwis on the Gold Coast they usually have a fair following behind them.
3. Parramatta Eels v North Queensland Cowboys @ Darwin Stadium
BET = Over 38.5 Total Match Points
1. With Corey Norman and Johnathan Thurston both returning the sides have their best attacking weapons back on the park.
2. The Eels’ attack has been firing even without Norman the past couple of weeks, racking up 56 points at an average of 28 per game.
3. The temperature in Darwin will be hot and testing and on a fast track you would expect defences to tire earlier in this game.
4. Both these teams have a lot of strike power and, given dry weather, both have plenty of players that can do damage inside the opposition 20 metre line.
5. I just think the points’ line is a bit low this game and both these team can combine for 3 or 4 tries each, which should tip us over that 38.5 mark.
4. Wests Tigers v Sydney Roosters @ Campbelltown Stadium
BET = Roosters - 12.5
1. The Roosters have a dominant record over the Wests Tiger having won the last 7 straight games.
2. All of those 7 victories have been by 13 or more, emphasising their dominance.
3. The Roosters even had the wood over the Tigers in some of their poor years in 2012 and 2016 where they registered big wins.
4. The Tigers’ attack is awful at the moment, having scored just 36 points in their last 4 games at an average of 9 per game.
5. I just think all signs point to a dominant Roosters’ victory here.
5.. Canterbury Bulldogs v St. George Illawarra Dragons @ ANZ Stadium
BET = Bulldogs +5.5
1. The Bulldogs responded to a 36-0 thrashing earlier in the year with an upset win over the Broncos. They are a Club renowned for circling the wagons and ambushing teams.
2. The Dogs get 3 of their most inspirational players back in Brett Morris, Josh Graham and Josh Reynolds.
3. Despite winning last week, the Dragons were far from their best in a 16-12 win against the Tigers.
4. With these 2 sides being rivals, usually when they clash the form book can be thrown out the window with it being a tight and physical affair.
5. I'm not sure if the Dogs can win this game, however I'm sure they will bounce back and make this a close and rugged affair.