My Best 5 Bets for NRL Round 11
1. New Zealand Warriors v St. George Illawarra Dragons @ Waikato Stadium
BET = Dragons +5.5
1. The Dragons have already beaten the Warriors comfortably this season.
2. The Dragons have lost by more than 6 on just 2 occasions this season.
3. The Dragons have an amazing record against the Warriors and have won 12 of their past 13 games against them.
4. Despite the fact the Warriors have been good at home, 3 of their victories have been by 6 points or less.
5. I just think this game goes down to the wire. You can't trust the Warriors based on their collapse last week.
2. Brisbane Broncos v Wests Tigers @ Suncorp Stadium
BET = Broncos - 15.5
1. The Broncos have won their past 5 games and are starting to put everything together.
2. The Broncos welcome back James Roberts and Ben Hunt to an already loaded starting side.
3. The Tigers missed 57 tackles in losing by 20 points to Souths last week and there were some really bad signs.
4. This is the Broncos’ last full game together before the Origin period.
5. The Tigers have a terrible record against the Broncos having won just 1 from the past 7 games.
3. Parramatta Eels v Canberra Raiders @ ANZ Stadium
BET = Under 37.5 Total Match Points
1. Sydney is due to be dumped on with 3 consecutive days of rain, meaning a very heavy track at ANZ Stadium.
2. The Eels have struggled in attack the past 3 games, averaging less than 18 points per game.
3. The Raiders’ attack has not got going this year compared to last year.
4. With both sides desperately needing a win, I think safety first football might be the way to go here.
5. If just expecting with so much at stake for both teams and with a slippery surface this game develops into a war in the forwards and a tight and defensive 80 minutes.
4. Newcastle Knights v Penrith Panthers @ McDonald Jones Stadium
BET = Under 44.5 Total Match Points
1. NSW is about to be hit with 3 straight days of rain starting on Friday, meaning it should be a heavy track in Newcastle on Sunday.
2. Whilst both these teams play attacking football, they are unlikely to be suited by the conditions.
3. Despite last week’s win, Anthony Griffin will want to see much more commitment from his side in defence.
4. The Knights are not the push overs they were last season, and have been involved in several arm wrestles this season.
5. I’m just expecting this game to not be as high scoring as expected, given the amount of rain due to fall.
5. Canterbury Bulldogs v Sydney Roosters @ ANZ Stadium
BET = Under 39.5 Total Match Points
1. Sydney is due to have rain all day Friday, Saturday and Sunday meaning a very heavy track at ANZ Stadium.
2. The Bulldogs have been involved in plenty of defensive struggles this year with their limited attack.
3. The conditions won't suit the slick Sydney Roosters’ attack and will reduce their capacity to score points.
4. This is a rivalry game, and generally means they are physical and tight contests.
5. I’m just expecting the Bulldogs to hang right in this game, and even if they don't have enough fire power to win, I expect them to keep it tight and low scoring