NFL - My 5 Best Bets for Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals (3-4) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (4-3) @ EverBank Field
 
BET = Cincinnati Bengals +5.5
 
I rarely trust the Jaguars as home favourites, as they tend to play a bit better as plucky underdogs rather than when the spotlight is on them. After starting the season appallingly with 3 straight losses, the Bengals are starting to find a bit of rhythm, and have been competitive in most their losses. Andy Dalton is a better quarterback than Blake Bortles, so whilst I'm not convinced the Bengals can win this game, I expect it to be close and low scoring, and 5.5 start seems value to me. 
 
Indianapolis Colts (2-6) @ Houston Texans (3-4) - NRG Stadium
 
BET = Indianapolis Colts +6.5
 
The Texans have suffered a devastating injury during the week with star young quarterback Deshaun Watson ruled out for the season. It’s a huge blow for an offense that was firing on all cylinders in the past month. Now, no offence to TJ Yeates, but the Texans are a much more basic team with him at the helm. His confidence would have been jolted big time by being yanked to the bench just half way through the team’s first game of the season. The Colts are not a good side, but the facts are the Texans are not either without Watson and defensive star JJ Watt. I expect this to be an ugly low scoring game, so taking the Colts with a big start. 
 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) @ New Orleans Saints (5-2) - Superdome
 
Over 51.5 Total Match Points
 
This is probably the bet of the round for me. The Saints are firing at the moment having won their past 5 games, and in those games averaging over 30 points per game. The Bucs last 2 road losses have both been extremely high scoring games, as they went down 30-27 at the Bills and 38-33 at the Cardinals. The Superdome is an indoor track that's perfect conditions for track meet type of games with offence dominating, and I see this game going well over 51 total match points. 
 
Arizona Cardinals (3-4) @ San Francisco 49ers (0-8) - Levi Stadium
 
BET = Over 38.5 Total Match Points
 
Whilst the Cardinals look like an average team this season, 4 of their 7 games have gone over 38 total match points. The 49ers have not won a game this season, and don't look like they will anytime soon. However, 5 of their 7 games this season have gone over 38 total match points. In 3 of the last 4 of the 49ers games, there have been over 48 points. Whilst these sides don’t have explosive offensives, their defences are not great, so I think we can muster 40 odds points here and get a collect. 
 
Detroit Lions (3-4) @ Green Bay Packers (4-3) - Lambeau Field
 
BET = Detroit Lions 2.5
 
I know the Packers are at home in a primetime game against a team they usually dominate over the years, however the fact for them is they no longer have Aaron Rodgers on the field. The Packers new quarterback Brett Hundley played pretty ugly football, as expected, in their 9-point home loss to the Saints, and I expect him to struggle again here. Despite somehow losing last week, Matt Stafford threw for over 400 yards in the Lions’ narrow loss at home to the Steelers. For the Lions, there is no better time to come up against Green Bay, and I am pretty confident here they can win this game by a field goal or more.