NFL - My 5 Best Bets for Week 6

Cleveland Browns (0-5) @ Houston Texans (2-3) - NRG Stadium

BET = Houston Texans - 8.5 ($1.90) 

I generally don't like swallowing big starts, however the Browns are absolutely awful. Houston really should stomp on them so I'm pretty confident here. They have just recently lost big to the Bengals, and got beaten by the Jets at home, so I think they could cop a pasting here. Despite being 2-3, the Texans are playing well, having gone down narrowly to New England and Kansas City. Expecting Deshaun Watson to further announce himself here, with another big display in a big Texans’ win. 

Los Angeles Rams (2-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) - EverBank Field

BET = Los Angeles Rams +2.5 ($1.95)

Pretty confident siding with the Rams here. One thing about the Jaguars, I find, is never to trust them just when you think they are about to get going as a side. They followed up their Week 1 upset of the Texans with a stinky performance at home against the Titans, and they are more than capable of doing that here. The Rams actually dominated the Seahawks for the most part and should have won that game at home last week, and already have beaten a strong side on the road in Dallas. Blake Bortles threw for less than 100 yards last week, despite the Jaguars winning, whilst Jared Goff has started this season in outstanding form. I'm confident the Rams can win this game. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) @ Arizona Cardinals (2-3) - University of Phoenix Stadium

BET = Under 45.5 Total Match Points ($2) 

The Cardinals have played two home games this season, and both of them have been under 45.5 points. The Cowboys beat them 28-17, whilst they edged the 49ers 19-16 in a low scoring overtime battle. I think Carson Palmer is really struggling to move the football, and the Cardinals are more likely to get into a defensive type of battle. The Bucs were also involved in a low scoring struggle last week, going down narrowly to the Patriots 19-14. 

Detroit Lions (3-2) @ New Orleans Saints (2-2) @ Superdome

BET = Over 50.5 Total Match Points ($1.90) 

Nothing new in this formula here for me. I get Drew Brees and Matthew Stafford, who are both playing at an extremely high level this season, in an indoor stadium, slinging balls down the field all day. The Saints’ defence looked a bit better than usual, however they are still capable of giving up some big plays. I think this game will more than likely be a huge scoring shootout, with both sides capable of scoring close to 30 points. 

Los Angeles Chargers (1-4) @ Oakland Raiders (2-3) - Oakland Coliseum

BET = Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 ($1.80) 

This is clearly the bet of the round for mine. The Raiders have got Derek Carr back, however he is going to be a long way from 100% fit given he fractured his back just 2 weeks ago. The Chargers have only been beaten by more than 3 points once this season, and that was by a rampant Chiefs outfit. Last season, the Chargers lost twice to Oakland, however it was by 3 points and 2 points respectively. I actually think the Chargers are playing the better football right now, with Oakland stinking it up in their last 3 ugly losses.